Cheap Stock Weekly Update May 26th 2014

We were down .5% last week driven by a 7.5% loss in ARIS in which we are over-weighted. We are now up 3% for the year. The DOW was up .3% and NASDAQ was up 1.0%. For the year, the DOW is down .2% and NASDAQ is down 1.1%

No earnings last week.

Some of our stocks are just stupid cheap—compared to their net cash on hand per share divided by their stock price.

Check this list:

UNTD 45%
CCUR 28%
SIGM 76%
MRVC 17%
SYNC 51%

 PRSS, MRVC, DAEG, EXTR and UNTD can still be bought.

Last week we went 6 stocks up and 8 down. Since inception we are now 68 stocks up and 17 down for a 80.0% winning percentage (80% is our target win %). Of our closed-out positions, 59 have been winners and 13 have been losers for an 82% win percentage and a 34% average net gain per position.

Since our beginning, we have closed out the following positions:  Continue reading

Cheap Stock Weekly Update May 13th 2014

Despite double digit gains in TSYS and DXM, we still we down 2.1% last week, cutting our YTD gain to 2.8%. Small caps got hit last week.. The DOW was up .4% and NASDAQ was down 1.3%. For the year, the DOW is even and NASDAQ is down 2.8%

DEX, MRVC and XRSC earnings last week.

Some of our stocks are just stupid cheap—compared to their net cash on hand per share divided by their stock price.

Check this list:

UNTD 45%
CCUR 28%
SIGM 73%
MRVC 18%
SYNC 59%

BLIN, DAEG, EXTR and UNTD can still be bought.

Last week we went 2 stocks up and 11 down. Since inception we are now 67stocks up and 18 down for a 78.8% winning percentage (80% is our target win %). Of our closed-out positions 59 have been winners and 13 have been losers for an 82% win percentage and a 34% average net gain per position.

Since our beginning, we have closed out the following positions: Continue reading

Cheap Stock Weekly Update May 5th 2014

Overall last week we were up 1.8% and are now up 4.9% for 2014. The DOW was up .9% and NASDAQ was up 1.2%. For the year, the DOW is down .4% and NASDAQ is down 1.3%

UNTD, TSYS and CCUR earnings last week.

Some of our stocks are just stupid cheap—compared to their net cash on hand per share divided by their stock price.

Check this list:

UNTD 43%
CCUR 28%
SIGM 71%
MRVC 26%
SYNC 55%

 

BLIN, DAEG and UNTD can still be bought.

Last week we went 4 stocks up, 5 down and 3 unchanged. Since inception we are now 67stocks up and 17 down for a 79.8% winning percentage (80% is our target win %). Of our closed-out positions 59 have been winners and 13 have been losers for an 82% win percentage and a 34% average net gain per position.

Since our beginning, we have closed out the following positions:  Continue reading

CSI Update: United Online May 1st 2014

UNTD announced Q1 2014 earnings after the close on April 30th. Revenues were $55.4 million down 3% from $57.2 million last year. GAAP net loss was $.75 a share, compared to income of $.03 per share last year. OIBDA (operating income before depreciation and amortization-the term United uses, which is essentially EBITDA) was $3.2 million compared to $5.2 million last year. Overall an OK quarter. Our valuation rose to $32.35 from $27.86 last quarter. UNTD is trading at about 40% of our valuation and cash is 40% of the market cap ($4.79 a share versus $4.29 a share last quarter. Although it looks like the stock will fall this morning (it was up $.78 yesterday), we think this is a buying opportunity.

CSI Tip: BUY UNTD @ $10.28

United Online  Inc. (NASDAQ–UNTD)

Valuation-$$27.86
Price December March 12, 2014-$10.28

I planned to recommend UNTD a while ago. I purchased some for $9.57 a share, and then it went straight up to $15.88 on February 20th this year on a good revenue quarter. We sold half our position. But now it has come almost all the way back down and given that it is trading at 40% of our valuation, we think it is time to buy more. The last time we saw a company like this was AOL in the mid-teens. Everyone thought AOL was dead. Now it is over $40 a share. UNTD is also one of the remaining early internet pioneers with brands like Classmates, NetZero and Juno.

Trading at only 37% of our valuation and with 50% of its market cap in cash ($5.06 a share) we think this is a BUY.

Their latest quarterly results were the first ones since UNTD spun off FTD last year, but they were still impacted on the expense side by spin-off costs. Revenues were $62.6 million (which drove the stock to its high) and after adjusting for litigation, transaction, share based compensation, intangible amortization, depreciation etc. they made $12.6 million. For 2014 they are projecting OIBDA of $28-$34 million.
There are about 14 million shares outstanding and it trades about 600,000 shares a day.
About UNTD:

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