Welcome from the Cheap Stock Investor

I have a 40 year background in accounting and finance at a number of public and private companies in increasingly responsible positions and have been a CFO for the last 20 years. My background in preparing financial statements, reporting to the Securities and Exchange Commission and having been involved in a number of company sales and purchases are invaluable tools in reading and understanding public company financial statements and their valuations.

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CSI Update May 2022

It was a bad month but at least not as bad as last month. All of the market averages are still down. I was down .7% in May and am down 10.4% for the year. NASDAQ is down 22.5% year-to-date and was down 1.3% in May, the Russell 2000 is down 15.9% year-to-date and was down 1.1% in May and the NYSE is down 7.4% year-to-date and was up 2.1% in May. I sold EVOL for a 3% loss in May.

Nothing much has changed in May. Inflation, supply chain issues, interest rates, oil prices, Ukraine and on and on, have not gotten any better. Pundits are now saying we are in a bear market and there is a growing chance for a recession-DUH. The market is very volatile with huge swings day-to-day and intra-day. I am thinking it will correct further. Valuations are still way too high on many stocks and their growth rates are slowing. It seems every week some high valuation stock is getting crushed. I think anything (Tech and Medical) that has a valuation over 3X revenues that is not supported by good earnings will still have a ways to fall.

I have not changed my valuation formula as it worked before the 2008 housing bust, after it, and before the 2020 bubble and after it. When the high flying stocks go down, everything does, whether it makes sense or not. Many times this is the time to buy.

In late 2015 I started offering a paid subscription service which is similar to the Blog, but I tell you exactly what stocks I bought and why—and sold every day, with a weekly summary of activity, open positions, how many shares I own and their valuations. 92.5% of my closed positions have been profitable.

The cost to subscribe is $50 a month for individuals, with a 100 subscriber limit. First-time subscribers can purchase a 3 month subscription for $100. I am not trying to get rich by having thousands of subscribers. I do this for self-discipline in my investing, so I am accountable to someone besides myself, which helps keep me focused. I am NOT a trader. I buy my stocks thinking I will own them for 2 years. Many, I own for far less than two years, but some I have held for five years or more. Including my current open positions, 83.5% of my stocks have been or are profitable.

Through 2022 to date, I have averaged a 48.0% gain on the 67 stocks I have sold (62 winners and 5 losers) in my private portfolio since January 1, 2016. Seventeen of the 66 stocks have had buy-out offers, including two in 2016, six in 2017, two in 2018, none in 2019, two in 2020, four in 2021 and one so far in 2022.

My total portfolio was up 42.7% in 2021, 30.6% in 2020 and 72.8% in 2019. I took most of these gains and banked them in cash.

I stopped publishing my free weekly CSI Blog after 10 years of publishing at the end of 2015. Since inception of the Blog in 2006, I had 73 winners, 20 losers for a 78.5% win-rate with an average gain of 38.9% on the free blog.

If you are interested in becoming one of my private paid subscribers, please e-mail me at daveosowski@gmail.com to get all the terms and conditions.

Here is the list of private subscription stocks I have bought and closed out my position on, since December 2015.

2022 Symbolic Logic, 3% loss

2022 Hewlett Packard Enterprise, 90% gain

2022 Xerox, 3% gain

2022 Pitney Bowes, 83% gain

2022 Universal Insurance, .02% gain

2022 Western Union, 3% gain

2022 Sonic Foundry, 1% gain

2022 BioDelivery Sciences, 54% gain-Buy-Out offer

2022 Lee Enterprises, 41% gain-Buy-Out offer (yes again)

2021 Tech Stock, 48% gain-Buy-Out (still holding some for tax reasons)

2021 Lee Enterprises, 115% gain

2021 Leaf Group, 84% gain-Buy-Out

2021 Evolving Systems, 222% gain

2021 DHI Group, 49% gain

2021 Avid Technology, 143% gain

2021 Synacor, 10% loss-Buy-Out

2021 Extreme Networks, 52% gain

2021 Synchronoss, 77% gain

2021 Accuray, 62% gain

2021 Alphatec, 96% gain

2020 ZAGG 43% loss-Buy-Out

2020 Alaska Comm. 46% gain-Buy-Out (again)

2020 MIX Telegraphics, 27% gain

2020 QUAD Graphics, 3% gain

2020 VOXX, 1% gain

2020 Alaska Comm. 46% gain

2020 Cutera, 31% gain

2020 Aviat Networks, sold remaining 1/3 for a 7% gain (overall 15% gain)

2020 DHI .4% gain

2020 QUAD Graphics 54% gain

2020 Medical equipment company-sold 33% for a 61% gain

2019 EXFO, 1% gain

2019 PERI, 77% gain

2019 Quantum Corp, sold for 48% gain

2019 EXTR, 15% gain

2019 DHI Corp, 46% gain

2019 Medical device company, (sold 80%), 69% gain

2019 Lantronix, 41% gain

2019 PDLI, 15% gain

2018 The Rubicon Project 1% gain

2018 Otelco 116% gain.

2018 Global Ship Lease 4% gain, Buy-Out

2018 Telecom Services (57% sold) 3% gain

2018 Lantronix, 52% gain

2018 Ceragon Networks, 82% gain

2018 Aviat Newtowrks. (1/3 sold) 17% gain

2018 Pitney Bowes 31% gain

2018 Calix 1% gain

2018 Xerox 34% gain, Buy-Out

2018 RMG Networks-1% gain

2017 Telecommunications Co., 59% gain (partial sale)

2017 magicJack 17% gain, Buy-Out

2017 eGain 56% gain

2017 YUME 90% gain, Buy-Out

2017 MaxPoint Interactive 60% gain

2017 Shortel 24% gain, Buy-Out

2017 Tremor Video 25% gain

2017 MRV Communications 6% loss, Buy-Out

2017 Ceragon Networks 55% gain

2017 Angie’s List 60% gain, Buy-Out

2017 Lantronix 135% gain

2017 Syneron Medical 46% gain, Buy-Out

2017 RocketFuel 140% gain

2017 Conduent .1% gain

2017 Harmonic 74% gain

2016 Ceragon Networks 48% gain

2016 Alphatec 71% gain

2016 Universal Insurance 36% gain

2016 Mitel Networks 15% gain

2016 Avid Technology 50% gain

2016 Silicon Graphics 70% gain, Buy-Out

2016 Imatron 30% gain

2016 Harmonic 80% gain

2016 United Online 5% loss, Buy-Out

CSI April 2022 Update

It was a horrible month. All of the market averages are still down. I was down 10.7% in April and am down 9.7% for the year. NASDAQ is down 21.2% year-to-date and was down 12.1% in April, the Russell 2000 is down 17.0% year-to-date and was down 9.2% in April and the NYSE is down 9.5% year-to-date and was down 4.9% in April. I started three new positions in April and exited two-Xerox (XRX) and Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE) for 3% and 90% gains respectively.

As I have been writing about for months, inflation, supply chain issues, interest rates, oil prices, Ukraine and on and on, have finally made a dent in stock valuations. We have already had a decent correction but, I am thinking it will correct further. Valuations are still way too high on many stocks and their growth rates are slowing. It seems every week some high valuation stock is getting crushed. I think anything (Tech and Medical) that has a valuation over 3X revenues that is not supported by good earnings will still have a ways to fall.

The 2 year and 10 year treasury rates inverted in late March for a very short time. With an expected ½   point rate increase expected in May, they may invert again. GDP fell 1.4% in Q1, 2022 the first time it has been negative since the pandemic started and second time since the 2008 meltdown. This is a signal that a recession is likely in our future.  

In late 2015 I started offering a paid subscription service which is similar to the Blog, but I tell you exactly what stocks I bought and why—and sold every day, with a weekly summary of activity, open positions, how many shares I own and their valuations. 94% of my closed positions have been profitable

The cost to subscribe is $50 a month for individuals, with a 100 subscriber limit. First-time subscribers can purchase a 3 month subscription for $100. I am not trying to get rich by having thousands of subscribers. I do this for self-discipline in my investing, so I am accountable to someone besides myself, which helps keep me focused. I am NOT a trader. I buy my stocks thinking I will own them for 2 years. Many, I own for far less than two years, but some I have held for five years or more. Including my current open positions, 83.5% of my stocks have been or are profitable.

Through 2022 to date, I have averaged a 48.7% gain on the 66 stocks I have sold (62 winners and 4 losers) in my private portfolio since January 1, 2016. Seventeen of the 66 stocks have had buy-out offers, including two in 2016, six in 2017, two in 2018, none in 2019, two in 2020, four in 2021 and one so far in 2022.

My total portfolio was up 42.7% in 2021, 30.6% in 2020 and 72.8% in 2019. I took most of these gains and banked them in cash.

I stopped publishing my free weekly CSI Blog after 10 years of publishing at the end of 2015. Since inception of the Blog in 2006, I had 73 winners, 20 losers for a 78.5% win-rate with an average gain of 38.9% on the free blog.

If you are interested in becoming one of my private paid subscribers, please e-mail me at daveosowski@gmail.com to get all the terms and conditions.

Here is the list of private subscription stocks I have bought and closed out my position on, since December 2015.

2022 Hewlett Packard Enterprise, 90% gain

2022 Xerox, 3% gain

2022 Pitney Bowes, 83% gain

2022 Universal Insurance, .02% gain

2022 Western Union, 3% gain

2022 Sonic Foundry, 1% gain

2022 BioDelivery Sciences, 54% gain-Buy-Out offer

2022 Lee Enterprises, 41% gain-Buy-Out offer (yes again)

2021 Tech Stock, 48% gain-Buy-Out (still holding some for tax reasons)

2021 Lee Enterprises, 115% gain

2021 Leaf Group, 84% gain-Buy-Out

2021 Evolving Systems, 222% gain

2021 DHI Group, 49% gain

2021 Avid Technology, 143% gain

2021 Synacor, 10% loss-Buy-Out

2021 Extreme Networks, 52% gain

2021 Synchronoss, 77% gain

2021 Accuray, 62% gain

2021 Alphatec, 96% gain

2020 ZAGG 43% loss-Buy-Out

2020 Alaska Comm. 46% gain-Buy-Out (again)

2020 MIX Telegraphics, 27% gain

2020 QUAD Graphics, 3% gain

2020 VOXX, 1% gain

2020 Alaska Comm. 46% gain

2020 Cutera, 31% gain

2020 Aviat Networks, sold remaining 1/3 for a 7% gain (overall 15% gain)

2020 DHI .4% gain

2020 QUAD Graphics 54% gain

2020 Medical equipment company-sold 33% for a 61% gain

2019 EXFO, 1% gain

2019 PERI, 77% gain

2019 Quantum Corp, sold for 48% gain

2019 EXTR, 15% gain

2019 DHI Corp, 46% gain

2019 Medical device company, (sold 80%), 69% gain

2019 Lantronix, 41% gain

2019 PDLI, 15% gain

2018 The Rubicon Project 1% gain

2018 Otelco 116% gain.

2018 Global Ship Lease 4% gain, Buy-Out

2018 Telecom Services (57% sold) 3% gain

2018 Lantronix, 52% gain

2018 Ceragon Networks, 82% gain

2018 Aviat Newtowrks. (1/3 sold) 17% gain

2018 Pitney Bowes 31% gain

2018 Calix 1% gain

2018 Xerox 34% gain, Buy-Out

2018 RMG Networks-1% gain

2017 Telecommunications Co., 59% gain (partial sale)

2017 magicJack 17% gain, Buy-Out

2017 eGain 56% gain

2017 YUME 90% gain, Buy-Out

2017 MaxPoint Interactive 60% gain

2017 Shortel 24% gain, Buy-Out

2017 Tremor Video 25% gain

2017 MRV Communications 6% loss, Buy-Out

2017 Ceragon Networks 55% gain

2017 Angie’s List 60% gain, Buy-Out

2017 Lantronix 135% gain

2017 Syneron Medical 46% gain, Buy-Out

2017 RocketFuel 140% gain

2017 Conduent .1% gain

2017 Harmonic 74% gain

2016 Ceragon Networks 48% gain

2016 Alphatec 71% gain

2016 Universal Insurance 36% gain

2016 Mitel Networks 15% gain

2016 Avid Technology 50% gain

2016 Silicon Graphics 70% gain, Buy-Out

2016 Imatron 30% gain

2016 Harmonic 80% gain

2016 United Online 5% loss, Buy-Out