I have a 40 year background in accounting and finance at a number of public and private companies in increasingly responsible positions and have been a CFO for the last 20 years. My background in preparing financial statements, reporting to the Securities and Exchange Commission and having been involved in a number of company sales and purchases are invaluable tools in reading and understanding public company financial statements and their valuations.
For fun I have been looking at some of the big cap, high flying, stocks. I don’t need to do my valuation formula to know they are way overvalued.
My valuation came in at $30 and that was being generous. This is what I think it is worth today–fully valued. I am not saying it is not a really good company, but the projected growth rates that analysts are using to get to the current price better be right, or this will end up a real stinker
We stopped publishing our free weekly CSI Blog after 10 years of publishing at the end of 2015. We are following our 4 remaining open positions until the end.
In late 2015 we started offering a paid subscription service which is similar to the Blog, but we tell you exactly what stocks we bought and why—and sold every day, with a weekly summary of activity, open positions, how many shares we own and their valuations.
I have averaged a 43% gain on the 28 stocks I have sold (26 winners and 2 small losers) in my private portfolio since January 1, 2016. Nine of the 28 stocks have had buy-out offers, including six in 2017 and two in 2018.
If you are interested in becoming one of our private paid subscribers, please e-mail me at daveosowski@gmail.com.
Here is the list of private subscription stocks I have bought and sold since December 2015.
2018 Telecom Services (57% sold) 3% gain
2018 Telco (less than 10% sold) 122% gain
2018 Internet Services Co. (10% sold) 49% gain
2018 Lantronix, 52% gain
2018 Ceragon Networks, 82% gain
2018 Networking Co. (1/3 sold) 17% gain
2018 Pitney Bowes 31% gain
2018 Calix-1% gain
2018 Xerox 34% gain, Buy-Out
2018 RMG Networks-1% gain
2017 Telecommunications Co., 59% gain (partial sale)
2017 magicJack 17% gain, Buy-Out
2017 eGain 56% gain
2017 YUME 90% gain, Buy-Out
2017 MaxPoint Interactive 60% gain
2017 Shortel 24% gain, Buy-Out
2017 Tremor Video 25% gain
2017 MRV Communications 6% loss, Buy-Out
2017 Ceragon Networks 55% gain
2017 Angie’s List 60% gain, Buy-Out
2017 Lantronix 135% gain
2017 Syneron Medical 46% gain, Buy-Out
2017 RocketFuel 140% gain
2017 Conduent .1% gain
2017 Harmonic 74% gain
2016 Ceragon Networks 48% gain
2016 Alphatec 71% gain
2016 Universal Insurance 36% gain
2016 Mitel Networks 15% gain
2016 Avid Technology 50% gain
2016 Silicon Graphics 70% gain, Buy-Out
2016 Imatron 30% gain
2016 Harmonic 80% gain
2016 United Online 5% loss, Buy-Out
Of our closed out positions on the Blog, since inception, we have had 71 winners, 19 losers for a 79% win-rate with an average gain of 35.7%.
We will continue to update on the remaining stock positions individually until they are all sold.
In September:
I closed out PRSS in August and it got bought out last week, for a whopping $1.48 a share. This was an amazing job by management of destroying the value here.
September 2018 Legacy Positions:
Share Current Lifetime Current Price to Prior
Stock Cost Price Gain Value Value Value
SYNC $2.56 $1.60 (38%) $5.75 28% $5.25
ATEC $7.06 $3.37 (52%) $3.37 100% $3.11
AVID $8.35 $5.93 (29%) $14.64 40% $14.98
For fun I have been looking at some of the big cap, high flying, stocks. I don’t need to do my valuation formula to know they are way overvalued, but I did it for Amazon, and now Netflix.
My valuation came in at $38. This is what I think it is worth today–fully valued. I am not saying it is not a really good company, but the projected growth rates that analysts are using to get to the current price better be right, or this will end up a real stinker
For fun I have been looking at some of the big cap, high flying, stocks. I don’t need to do my valuation formula to know they are way overvalued, but I did it for Amazon and now Facebook.
My valuation came in at $64. This is what I think it is worth today–fully valued. I am not saying it is not a really good company, but the projected growth rates that analysts are using to get to the current price better be right, or this will end up a real stinker.
For fun I have been looking at some of the big cap, high flying, stocks. I don’t need to do my valuation formula to know they are way overvalued, but I did it for Amazon for kicks.
My valuation came in at $597. This is what I think it is worth today–fully valued. I am not saying it is not a really good company, but the projected growth rates that analysts are using to get to the current price better be right, or this will end up a real stinker.
We stopped publishing our free weekly CSI Blog after 10 years of publishing at the end of 2015. We are following our 3 remaining open positions until the end.
In late 2015 we started offering a paid subscription service which is similar to the Blog, but we tell you exactly what stocks we bought and why—and sold every day, with a weekly summary of activity, open positions, how many shares we own and their valuations.
I have averaged a 43% gain on the 28 stocks I have sold entirely (26 winners and 2 small losers) in my private portfolio since January 1, 2016. Nine of the 28 stocks have had buy-out offers, including six in 2017 two in 2018.
If you are interested in becoming one of our private paid subscribers, please e-mail me at daveosowski@gmail.com.
Here is the list of private subscription stocks I have bought and sold since December 2015.
2018 Telecom Services (57% sold) 3% gain
2018 Telco (less than 10% sold) 122% gain
2018 Internet Services Co. (10% sold) 49% gain
2018 Lantronix, 52% gain
2018 Ceragon Networks, 82% gain
2018 Networking Co. (1/3 sold) 17% gain
2018 Pitney Bowes 31% gain
2018 Calix 1% gain
2018 Xerox 34% gain, Buy-Out
2018 RMG Networks 1% gain
2017 Telecommunications Co., 59% gain (partial sale)
2017 magicJack 17% gain, Buy-Out
2017 eGain 56% gain
2017 YUME 90% gain, Buy-Out
2017 MaxPoint Interactive 60% gain
2017 Shortel 24% gain, Buy-Out
2017 Tremor Video 25% gain
2017 MRV Communications 6% loss, Buy-Out
2017 Ceragon Networks 55% gain
2017 Angie’s List 60% gain, Buy-Out
2017 Lantronix 135% gain
2017 Syneron Medical 46% gain, Buy-Out
2017 RocketFuel 140% gain
2017 Conduent .1% gain
2017 Harmonic 74% gain
2016 Ceragon Networks 48% gain
2016 Alphatec 71% gain
2016 Universal Insurance 36% gain
2016 Mitel Networks 15% gain
2016 Avid Technology 50% gain
2016 Silicon Graphics 70% gain, Buy-Out
2016 Imatron 30% gain
2016 Harmonic 80% gain
2016 United Online 5% loss, Buy-Out
