CSI Update September 2017-Free Blog

Of our closed out positions on the Blog, since inception, we have had 70 winners, 17 losers for an 80.5% win-rate with an average gain of 38%.

Since we have only 6 remaining stocks in our “portfolio” we will be discontinuing the portfolio performance metrics in 2017. We will continue to update on the remaining stock positions individually in 2017.

In September:

 No substantial news on any of our stocks in September.

September 2017 Legacy Positions:

 

                  Share      Current      Lifetime      Current      Price to     Prior

 Stock         Cost          Price          Gain            Value         Value       Value

CCUR             $4.58        $8.40           83%               $9.98         84%          $11.49

BLIN            $19.76        $2.87          (85%)             $7.01         41%            $7.20

SYNC              $2.56        $2.70            5%               $5.32         51%            $4.49

PRSS              $4.01        $1.81           (55%)             $6.49        28%            $5.61

ATEC             $7.06        $2.26           (68%)             $7.42        30%            $9.42

AVID             $8.35        $4.54           (47%)            $16.50        28%         $17.34

 

 

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CSI Update September 2017

PRIVATE SUBSCRIPTIONS

We stopped publishing our free weekly CSI Blog after 10 years of publishing at the end of 2015. We are following our 6 remaining open positions until the end.

In late 2015 we started offering a paid subscription service which is similar to the Blog, but we tell you exactly what stocks we bought and why—and sold every day, with a weekly summary of activity, open positions, how many shares we own and their valuations.

I have averaged a 47.6% gain on our 20 sold stocks (18 winners and 2 small losers) in my private portfolio since January 1, 2016. Seven of the 20 stocks have been bought out, including five this year.

If you are interested in becoming one of our private paid subscribers, please e-mail me at daveosowski@gmail.com.

Here is the list of private subscription stocks I have bought and sold since December 2015.

2017 YUME 90% gain, Buy-Out

2017 MaxPoint Interactive 60% gain

2017 Shortel 24% gain, Buy-Out

2017 Tremor Video 25% gain

2017 MRV Communications 6% loss, Buy-Out

2017 Ceragon Networks 55% gain

2017 Angie’s List 60% gain, Buy-Out

2017 Lantronix 135% gain

2017 Syneron Medical 46% gain, Buy-Out

2017 RocketFuel 140% gain

2017 Undisclosed spin-off .1% gain

2017 Harmonic 74% gain

2016 Ceragon Networks 48% gain

2016 Alphatec 71% gain

2016 Universal Insurance 36% gain

2016 Mitel Networks 15% gain

2016 Avid Technology 50% gain

2016 Silicon Graphics 70% gain, Buy-out

2016 Imatron 30% gain

2016 Harmonic 80% gain

2016 United Online 5% loss, Buy-out

 

 

 

My worst moves

I always try to learn from my mistakes.

Extreme Networks-EXTR. I sold EXTR in July 2016 at $3.88 a share. Why did I sell when my valuation was $7.48? I was nervous about the market and thought they might disappoint on their next earnings report (which they did with annoying regularity). But mostly I think I was bored with it. I booked at 13% gain, but the stock is now trading at over $11 a share. Lesson–Patience.

Tremor Video-TRMR. I sold TRMR in late July 2017 at an average price of $2.26 for a 25% gain in a bit more than 3 months. My valuation on it was $4.40 Why did I sell? Well RocketFuel, which is an “adtech” stock just got taken over for $2.60 a share. I had just sold Rocket at an average price of $4.58 a share for a 140% gain and my valuation on it was $6.69. Since I sold TRMR it has soared to a high of $4.10 (Now about $3.60). I missed out on a 120% gain.  I got nervous again that something was amiss with my valuation on these “adtech” stocks. Lesson–Patience.

MaxPoint Interactive-MXPT. I sold MXPT in the first week of August 2017 at $6.58 for a 60% gain in about 6 months. My valuation on it was $22.60. On August 28th, they got a buyout offer of $13.86 a share. I missed out on a 237% gain. Why? I was nervous about the RocketFuel buyout price compared to my valuation. Lesson–Patience.

Buy-outs-Private Portfolio

My proprietary valuation formula which identifies undervalued tech and medical industry stocks results in a good number of buyouts.

These are the stocks that I owned that were bought out over the last 3 years. I had many others bought out over the 10 years of publishing the free Blog also (see Performance Record).

2017

YUME 90% gain

Shortel (SHOR) 24% gain

MRV Communications (MRVC) 5% Loss

Angies List (ANGI) 60% gain

Syneron Medical (ELOS) 46% gain

2016

Silicon Graphics (SGI) 70% gain

United Online (UNTD) 6% loss

Checkpoint Systems (CKP) 48% gain

2015

Telecommunications Systems (TSYS) 260% gain

CTI Industries (CTIG) 118% gain

Envivio (ENVI) 109% gain

Daegis (DAEG) 25% loss

(XRSC) 260% gain

CSI Update August 2017

PRIVATE SUBSCRIPTIONS

 

We stopped publishing our free weekly CSI Blog after 10 years of publishing at the end of 2015. We are following our 6 remaining open positions until the end.

In late 2015 we started offering a paid subscription service which is similar to the Blog, but we tell you exactly what stocks we bought and why—and sold every day, with a weekly summary of activity, open positions, how many shares we own and their valuations.

Here is the list of private subscription stocks I have bought and sold since December 2015.

2017-MaxPoint, 60% gain

2017-Tremor Video, 25% gain

2017-ShorTel, 24% gain on BUY-OUT

2017-MRV Communications, 6% loss on BUY-OUT

2017-Ceragon, 5% gain

2017-Angie’s List, 60% gain on BUY-OUT

2017-Syneron Med. 46% gain on BUY-OUT

2017-RocketFuel, 140% gain in 4 months

2017-Lantronix, 135% gain

2017-Undisclosed spinoff, 1% gain

2017-HLIT, 78%

2017-Ceragon, 48% gain

2016-Imation, 31% gain

2016-Mitel, 15% gain

2016-SGI, 70% gain on BUY-OUT.

2016-AVID, 55% gain (this was a trading position-in addition to our long-term BLOG holding)

2016-UVE, 36% gain.

2016-ATEC, 71% gain. (This was a trading position-in addition to our long-term BLOG holding)

2016-United Online, 6% loss BUY-OUT

If you are interested in becoming one of our private paid subscribers, please e-mail me at daveosowski@gmail.com.

We averaged a 46.3% gain on our 19 sold stocks (17 winners and 2 small losers) in our private portfolio since January 1, 2016.

CSI FREE BLOG

Of our closed out positions on the Blog, since inception, we have had 70 winners, 17 losers for an 80.5% win-rate with an average gain of 38%.

Since we have only 6 remaining stocks in our “portfolio” we will be discontinuing the portfolio performance metrics in 2017. We will continue to update on the remaining stock positions individually in 2017.

In August:

 BLIN had to do another 1 for 5 reverse stock split. This is the second one in just over 2 years. An AMAZING destruction of value by this management group. Our new valuation is $7.01

PRSS announced Q2 earnings. Their “turnaround” continues. Our new valuation is $6.51 and they have $1.80 per share in cash. We are still hopeful on this one, but it is taking too long, which is always concerning.

SYNC announced Q2 earnings. Not bad but the full impact of the $100 million AT&T contract is delayed until next year. Our valuation rose to $5.32 from $4.49.

August 2017 Legacy Positions:

                 Share      Current      Lifetime      Current      Price to     Prior

 Stock         Cost          Price          Gain            Value         Value       Value

CCUR         $4.58        $8.72           90%               $11.49        76%           $13.83

BLIN          $19.76      $2.64          (87%)               $7.01        38%            $7.20

SYNC           $2.56       $2.30          (10%)               $5.32        43%            $4.49

PRSS            $4.01      $2.12           (47%)              $6.49         28%            $5.61

ATEC           $7.06       $2.02          (71%)              $7.42         17%            $9.42

AVID            $8.35       $4.41         (47%)             $16.50         30%         $17.34