Tesla (TSLA) valuation-$30

For fun I have been looking at some of the big cap, high flying, stocks. I don’t need to do my valuation formula to know they are way overvalued.

My valuation came in at $30 and that was being generous. This is what I think it is worth today–fully valued. I am not saying it is not a really good company, but the projected growth rates that analysts are using to get to the current price better be right, or this will end up a real stinker

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CSI Update September 2018-Private Subscriptions

We stopped publishing our free weekly CSI Blog after 10 years of publishing at the end of 2015. We are following our 4 remaining open positions until the end.

In late 2015 we started offering a paid subscription service which is similar to the Blog, but we tell you exactly what stocks we bought and why—and sold every day, with a weekly summary of activity, open positions, how many shares we own and their valuations.

I have averaged a 43% gain on the 28 stocks I have sold (26 winners and 2 small losers) in my private portfolio since January 1, 2016. Nine of the 28 stocks have had buy-out offers, including six in 2017 and two in 2018.

If you are interested in becoming one of our private paid subscribers, please e-mail me at daveosowski@gmail.com.

Here is the list of private subscription stocks I have bought and sold since December 2015.

2018 Telecom Services (57% sold) 3% gain

2018 Telco (less than 10% sold) 122% gain

2018 Internet Services Co. (10% sold) 49% gain

2018 Lantronix, 52% gain

2018 Ceragon Networks, 82% gain

2018 Networking Co. (1/3 sold) 17% gain

2018 Pitney Bowes 31% gain

2018 Calix-1% gain

2018 Xerox 34% gain, Buy-Out

2018 RMG Networks-1% gain

2017 Telecommunications Co., 59% gain (partial sale)

2017 magicJack 17% gain, Buy-Out

2017 eGain 56% gain

2017 YUME 90% gain, Buy-Out

2017 MaxPoint Interactive 60% gain

2017 Shortel 24% gain, Buy-Out

2017 Tremor Video 25% gain

2017 MRV Communications 6% loss, Buy-Out

2017 Ceragon Networks 55% gain

2017 Angie’s List 60% gain, Buy-Out

2017 Lantronix 135% gain

2017 Syneron Medical 46% gain, Buy-Out

2017 RocketFuel 140% gain

2017 Conduent .1% gain

2017 Harmonic 74% gain

2016 Ceragon Networks 48% gain

2016 Alphatec 71% gain

2016 Universal Insurance 36% gain

2016 Mitel Networks 15% gain

2016 Avid Technology 50% gain

2016 Silicon Graphics 70% gain, Buy-Out

2016 Imatron 30% gain

2016 Harmonic 80% gain

2016 United Online 5% loss, Buy-Out

CSI Update September 2018-Free Blog

Of our closed out positions on the Blog, since inception, we have had 71 winners, 19 losers for a 79% win-rate with an average gain of 35.7%.

We will continue to update on the remaining stock positions individually until they are all sold.

In September:

 I closed out PRSS in August and it got bought out last week, for a whopping $1.48 a share. This was an amazing job by management of destroying the value here.

September 2018 Legacy Positions:

                  Share      Current      Lifetime      Current      Price to     Prior

 Stock         Cost          Price          Gain            Value         Value       Value 

SYNC           $2.56        $1.60          (38%)             $5.75         28%          $5.25

ATEC           $7.06        $3.37          (52%)             $3.37       100%          $3.11

AVID           $8.35        $5.93          (29%)            $14.64         40%        $14.98

Netflix (NFLX)

For fun I have been looking at some of the big cap, high flying, stocks. I don’t need to do my valuation formula to know they are way overvalued, but I did it for Amazon, and now Netflix.

My valuation came in at $38. This is what I think it is worth today–fully valued. I am not saying it is not a really good company, but the projected growth rates that analysts are using to get to the current price better be right, or this will end up a real stinker

Facebook (FB) Valuation-$64

For fun I have been looking at some of the big cap, high flying, stocks. I don’t need to do my valuation formula to know they are way overvalued, but I did it for Amazon and now Facebook.

My valuation came in at $64. This is what I think it is worth today–fully valued. I am not saying it is not a really good company, but the projected growth rates that analysts are using to get to the current price better be right, or this will end up a real stinker.

Amazon Valuation (AMZN)

For fun I have been looking at some of the big cap, high flying, stocks. I don’t need to do my valuation formula to know they are way overvalued, but I did it for Amazon for kicks.

My valuation came in at $597. This is what I think it is worth today–fully valued. I am not saying it is not a really good company, but the projected growth rates that analysts are using to get to the current price better be right, or this will end up a real stinker.

CSI Update August 2018-Private Subscriptions

We stopped publishing our free weekly CSI Blog after 10 years of publishing at the end of 2015. We are following our 3 remaining open positions until the end.

In late 2015 we started offering a paid subscription service which is similar to the Blog, but we tell you exactly what stocks we bought and why—and sold every day, with a weekly summary of activity, open positions, how many shares we own and their valuations.

I have averaged a 43% gain on the 28 stocks I have sold entirely (26 winners and 2 small losers) in my private portfolio since January 1, 2016. Nine of the 28 stocks have had buy-out offers, including six in 2017 two in 2018.

If you are interested in becoming one of our private paid subscribers, please e-mail me at daveosowski@gmail.com.

Here is the list of private subscription stocks I have bought and sold since December 2015.

2018 Telecom Services (57% sold) 3% gain

2018 Telco (less than 10% sold) 122% gain

2018 Internet Services Co. (10% sold) 49% gain

2018 Lantronix, 52% gain

2018 Ceragon Networks, 82% gain

2018 Networking Co. (1/3 sold) 17% gain

2018 Pitney Bowes 31% gain

2018 Calix 1% gain

2018 Xerox 34% gain, Buy-Out

2018 RMG Networks 1% gain

2017 Telecommunications Co., 59% gain (partial sale)

2017 magicJack 17% gain, Buy-Out

2017 eGain 56% gain

2017 YUME 90% gain, Buy-Out

2017 MaxPoint Interactive 60% gain

2017 Shortel 24% gain, Buy-Out

2017 Tremor Video 25% gain

2017 MRV Communications 6% loss, Buy-Out

2017 Ceragon Networks 55% gain

2017 Angie’s List 60% gain, Buy-Out

2017 Lantronix 135% gain

2017 Syneron Medical 46% gain, Buy-Out

2017 RocketFuel 140% gain

2017 Conduent .1% gain

2017 Harmonic 74% gain

2016 Ceragon Networks 48% gain

2016 Alphatec 71% gain

2016 Universal Insurance 36% gain

2016 Mitel Networks 15% gain

2016 Avid Technology 50% gain

2016 Silicon Graphics 70% gain, Buy-Out

2016 Imatron 30% gain

2016 Harmonic 80% gain

2016 United Online 5% loss, Buy-Out