CSI Update, August 31,2020-Private Subscibers

We stopped publishing our free weekly CSI Blog after 10 years of publishing at the end of 2015. We are following our 3 remaining open positions until the end.

In late 2015 I started offering a paid subscription service which is similar to the Blog, but we tell you exactly what stocks we bought and why—and sold every day, with a weekly summary of activity, open positions, how many shares we own and their valuations.

Through August, 2020, I have averaged a 40.3% gain on the 46 stocks I have sold (44 winners and 2 small losers) in my private portfolio since January 1, 2016. Nine of the 46 stocks have had buy-out offers, including six in 2017 and two in 2018, but none in 2019 or 2020-yet.

My total portfolio was up 72.8% in 2019. I took profit in the entire gain and banked it in cash.

NASDAQ is up for the year on the backs of stocks selling at astronomical multiples—of sales. The NYSE and Russell 2000 indexes are still down but have recovered much of their losses. I am still down in line with the Russell in 2020.

If you are interested in becoming one of our private paid subscribers, please e-mail me at daveosowski@gmail.com.

Here is the list of private subscription stocks I have bought and sold since December 2015.

2020 PDL BioPharma, 34% gain

2020 MIX Telegraphics, 27% gain

2020 QUAD Graphics, 3% gain

2020 VOXX, 1% gain

2020 Alaska Comm. 46% gain

2020 Cutera, 31% gain

2020 Aviat Networks, sold remaining 1/3 for a 7% gain (overall 15% gain)

2020 DHI .4% gain

2020 QUAD Graphics-54% gain

2020 Medical equipment company-sold 33% for a 61% gain

2020 Old line media company-sold 50% for a 44% gain

2019 EXFO, 1% gain

2019 PERI, 77% gain

2019 Quantum Corp, sold for 48% gain

2019 EXTR, 15% gain

2019 Medical Device company, sold 50% for a 53% gain

2019 DHI Corp, 46% gain

2019 Medical device company, (sold 80%), 69% gain

2019 Lantronix, 41% gain

2019 PDLI, 15% gain

2018 The Rubicon Project 1% gain

2018 Otelco 116% gain.

2018 Global Ship Lease 4% gain

2018 Telecom Services (57% sold) 3% gain

2018 Lantronix, 52% gain

2018 Ceragon Networks, 82% gain

2018 Aviat Newtowrks. (1/3 sold) 17% gain

2018 Pitney Bowes 31% gain

2018 Calix-1% gain

2018 Xerox 34% gain, Buy-Out

2018 RMG Networks-1% gain

2017 Telecommunications Co., 59% gain (partial sale)

2017 magicJack 17% gain, Buy-Out

2017 eGain 56% gain

2017 YUME 90% gain, Buy-Out

2017 MaxPoint Interactive 60% gain

2017 Shortel 24% gain, Buy-Out

2017 Tremor Video 25% gain

2017 MRV Communications 6% loss, Buy-Out

2017 Ceragon Networks 55% gain

2017 Angie’s List 60% gain, Buy-Out

2017 Lantronix 135% gain

2017 Syneron Medical 46% gain, Buy-Out

2017 RocketFuel 140% gain

2017 Conduent .1% gain

2017 Harmonic 74% gain

2016 Ceragon Networks 48% gain

2016 Alphatec 71% gain

2016 Universal Insurance 36% gain

2016 Mitel Networks 15% gain

2016 Avid Technology 50% gain

2016 Silicon Graphics 70% gain, Buy-Out

2016 Imatron 30% gain

2016 Harmonic 80% gain

2016 United Online 5% loss, Buy-Out

CSI Update, August 31,2020-Free Blog

Of our closed out positions on the Blog, since inception, we have had 71 winners, 19 losers for a 79% win-rate with an average gain of 35.7%.

We will continue to update on the remaining stock positions individually until they are all sold.

SYNC reported Q2 earnings. Not bad IMO. Revenues were $18.2 million compared to $22.2 million last year (excluding the AT&T revenues). Their software and services revenue actually increased a bit to $10.9 million from $10.6 million last year but their portal and advertising segment got whacked by COVID and was $7.3 million down from $11.6 million. Adjusted EBITDA was $455,000 compared to $1,615,000 last year. They have a $10 million cost reduction plan going on to increase profitability. May valuation rose to $2.59 from $2.48. SYNC continues to get no respect in the market

ATEC reported Q2 earnings. Revenues were actually up to $29.6 million from $27.3 million, but they lost $15.8 million compared to a loss of $12.4 million last year.  They did way better on revenues than I expected, but they continue to burn cash which was down to $31.1 million and they filed for a shelf registration to sell up to $200 million of additional stock from time-to-time. Adjusted EBITDA was a loss of only $1.1 million but they really do have to pay interest etc. While they seem to be doing a fairly good job on revenues, especially in this COVID time, the possible additional share dilution and continuing losses make me queasy. My valuation fell to $3.92 from $4.27.

AVID reported Q2 earnings. Not bad at all. Revenues were down but profits were up. Revenues fell from $99 million to $79 million but Non-GAAP net income rose from $885,000 to $5,082,000 ($.12 a share). My valuation rose to $14.48 from $11.77.

August 2020 Legacy Positions:

SYNC

Share cost $2.56

Current Price $1.16

Lifetime Gain (Loss) (55%)

YTD Loss 24%

Current Valuation $2.59

Price to Value ratio 45%

Prior Valuation $2.48

ATEC

Share cost $7.06

Current Price $5.99

Lifetime Loss 15%

YTD Loss 15%

Current Valuation $3.92

Price to Value ratio 153%

Prior Valuation $4.27

AVID

Share cost $8.35

Current Price $8.10

Lifetime gain -3%

YTD Loss 6%

Current Valuation $14.48

Price to Value ratio 56%

Prior Valuation $11.77 

CSI Update, July 2020, Private Subscriptions

We stopped publishing our free weekly CSI Blog after 10 years of publishing at the end of 2015. We are following our 3 remaining open positions until the end.

In late 2015 I started offering a paid subscription service which is similar to the Blog, but we tell you exactly what stocks we bought and why—and sold every day, with a weekly summary of activity, open positions, how many shares we own and their valuations.

Through June, 2020, I have averaged a 41% gain on the 44 stocks I have sold (42 winners and 2 small losers) in my private portfolio since January 1, 2016. Nine of the 44 stocks have had buy-out offers, including six in 2017 and two in 2018, but none in 2019 or 2020-yet.

My total portfolio was up 72.8% in 2019. I took profit in the entire gain and banked it in cash.

NASDAQ is up for the year on the backs of stocks selling at astronomical multiples—of sales. The NYSE and Russell 2000 indexes are still down but have recovered much of their losses. I am still down in line with the Russell in 2020.

If you are interested in becoming one of our private paid subscribers, please e-mail me at daveosowski@gmail.com.

Here is the list of private subscription stocks I have bought and sold since December 2015.

2020 QUAD Graphics, 3% gain

2020 VOXX, 1% gain

2020 Alaska Comm. 46% gain

2020 Cutera, 31% gain

2020 Aviat Networks, sold remaining 1/3 for a 7% gain (overall 15% gain)

2020 DHI .4% gain

2020 BioPharma company-sold 40% for a 9% loss

2020 QUAD Graphics-54% gain

2020 Medical equipment company-sold 33% for a 61% gain

2020 Old line media company-sold 50% for a 44% gain

2019 EXFO, 1% gain

2019 PERI, 77% gain

2019 Quantum Corp, sold for 48% gain

2019 EXTR, 15% gain

2019 Medical Device company, sold 50% for a 53% gain

2019 DHI Corp, 46% gain

2019 Medical device company, (sold 80%), 69% gain

2019 Lantronix, 41% gain

2019 PDLI, 15% gain

2018 The Rubicon Project 1% gain

2018 Otelco 116% gain.

2018 Global Ship Lease 4% gain

2018 Telecom Services (57% sold) 3% gain

2018 Lantronix, 52% gain

2018 Ceragon Networks, 82% gain

2018 Aviat Newtowrks. (1/3 sold) 17% gain

2018 Pitney Bowes 31% gain

2018 Calix-1% gain

2018 Xerox 34% gain, Buy-Out

2018 RMG Networks-1% gain

2017 Telecommunications Co., 59% gain (partial sale)

2017 magicJack 17% gain, Buy-Out

2017 eGain 56% gain

2017 YUME 90% gain, Buy-Out

2017 MaxPoint Interactive 60% gain

2017 Shortel 24% gain, Buy-Out

2017 Tremor Video 25% gain

2017 MRV Communications 6% loss, Buy-Out

2017 Ceragon Networks 55% gain

2017 Angie’s List 60% gain, Buy-Out

2017 Lantronix 135% gain

2017 Syneron Medical 46% gain, Buy-Out

2017 RocketFuel 140% gain

2017 Conduent .1% gain

2017 Harmonic 74% gain

2016 Ceragon Networks 48% gain

2016 Alphatec 71% gain

2016 Universal Insurance 36% gain

2016 Mitel Networks 15% gain

2016 Avid Technology 50% gain

2016 Silicon Graphics 70% gain, Buy-Out

2016 Imatron 30% gain

2016 Harmonic 80% gain

2016 United Online 5% loss, Buy-Out

CSI Update, July 31,2020, Free Blog

Of our closed out positions on the Blog, since inception, we have had 71 winners, 19 losers for a 79% win-rate with an average gain of 35.7%.

We will continue to update on the remaining stock positions individually until they are all sold.

July 2020 Legacy Positions:

SYNC

Share cost $2.56

Current Price $1.17

Lifetime Gain (Loss) (54%)

YTD Loss 23%

Current Valuation $2.48

Price to Value ratio 47%

Prior Valuation $4.31

 ATEC

Share cost $7.06

Current Price $4.97

Lifetime Loss 30%

YTD Loss 30%

Current Valuation $4.27

Price to Value ratio 116%

Prior Valuation $5.30

 AVID

Share cost $8.35

Current Price $8.23

Lifetime gain -1%

YTD Loss 4%

Current Valuation $11.77

Price to Value ratio 70%

Prior Valuation $18.71 

 

CSI Update, June 2020, Free Blog

Of our closed out positions on the Blog, since inception, we have had 71 winners, 19 losers for a 79% win-rate with an average gain of 35.7%.

We will continue to update on the remaining stock positions individually until they are all sold.

SYNC called off their merger with QUMU. QUMU soared from $2.45 to $4.50 while STINK, I mean SYNC fell a few pennies. I am still going to hold this one as my valuation still says it is worth double its current price.  They need to fire the CEO.

June 2020 Legacy Positions:

SYNC

Share cost $2.56

Current Price $1.13

Lifetime Gain (Loss) (56%)

YTD Loss 28%

Current Valuation $2.48

Price to Value ratio 46%

Prior Valuation $4.31

 ATEC

Share cost $7.06

Current Price $4.70

Lifetime Loss 33%

YTD Loss 37%

Current Valuation $4.27

Price to Value ratio 110%

Prior Valuation $5.30

 AVID

Share cost $8.35

Current Price $7.27

Lifetime gain -13%

YTD Loss 18%

Current Valuation $11.77

Price to Value ratio 62%

Prior Valuation $18.71 

 

 

 

 

CSI Update, June 2020, Private Subscribers

We stopped publishing our free weekly CSI Blog after 10 years of publishing at the end of 2015. We are following our 3 remaining open positions until the end.

In late 2015 I started offering a paid subscription service which is similar to the Blog, but we tell you exactly what stocks we bought and why—and sold every day, with a weekly summary of activity, open positions, how many shares we own and their valuations.

Through June, 2020, I have averaged a 41% gain on the 44 stocks I have sold (42 winners and 2 small losers) in my private portfolio since January 1, 2016. Nine of the 44 stocks have had buy-out offers, including six in 2017 and two in 2018, but none in 2019 or 2020-yet.

My total portfolio was up 72.8% in 2019. I took profit in the entire gain and banked it in cash.

NASDAQ is up for the year on the backs of stocks selling at astronomical multiples—of sales. The NYSE and Russel 2000 indexes are still down but have recovered much of their losses. I am still down in 2020.

If you are interested in becoming one of our private paid subscribers, please e-mail me at daveosowski@gmail.com.

Here is the list of private subscription stocks I have bought and sold since December 2015.

2020 QUAD Graphics, 3% gain

2020 VOXX, 1% gain

2020 Alaska Comm. 46% gain

2020 Cutera, 31% gain

2020 Aviat Networks, sold remaining 1/3 for a 7% gain (overall 15% gain)

2020 DHI .4% gain

2020 BioPharma company-sold 40% for a 9% loss

2020 QUAD Graphics-54% gain

2020 Medical equipment company-sold 33% for a 61% gain

2020 Old line media company-sold 50% for a 44% gain

2019 EXFO, 1% gain

2019 PERI, 77% gain

2019 Quantum Corp, sold 48% gain

2019 EXTR, 15% gain

2019 Medical Device company, sold 50% for a 53% gain

2019 DHI Corp, 46% gain

2019 Medical device company, (sold 80%), 69% gain

2019 Lantronix, 41% gain

2019 PDLI, 15% gain

2018 The Rubicon Project 1% gain

2018 Otelco 116% gain.

2018 Global Ship Lease 4% gain

2018 Telecom Services (57% sold) 3% gain

2018 Lantronix, 52% gain

2018 Ceragon Networks, 82% gain

2018 Aviat Newtowrks. (1/3 sold) 17% gain

2018 Pitney Bowes 31% gain

2018 Calix-1% gain

2018 Xerox 34% gain, Buy-Out

2018 RMG Networks-1% gain

2017 Telecommunications Co., 59% gain (partial sale)

2017 magicJack 17% gain, Buy-Out

2017 eGain 56% gain

2017 YUME 90% gain, Buy-Out

2017 MaxPoint Interactive 60% gain

2017 Shortel 24% gain, Buy-Out

2017 Tremor Video 25% gain

2017 MRV Communications 6% loss, Buy-Out

2017 Ceragon Networks 55% gain

2017 Angie’s List 60% gain, Buy-Out

2017 Lantronix 135% gain

2017 Syneron Medical 46% gain, Buy-Out

2017 RocketFuel 140% gain

2017 Conduent .1% gain

2017 Harmonic 74% gain

2016 Ceragon Networks 48% gain

2016 Alphatec 71% gain

2016 Universal Insurance 36% gain

2016 Mitel Networks 15% gain

2016 Avid Technology 50% gain

2016 Silicon Graphics 70% gain, Buy-Out

2016 Imatron 30% gain

2016 Harmonic 80% gain

2016 United Online 5% loss, Buy-Out

CSI Update May 2020, Private Subscribers

We stopped publishing our free weekly CSI Blog after 10 years of publishing at the end of 2015. We are following our 3 remaining open positions until the end.

In late 2015 I started offering a paid subscription service which is similar to the Blog, but we tell you exactly what stocks we bought and why—and sold every day, with a weekly summary of activity, open positions, how many shares we own and their valuations.

Through May 31, 2020, I have averaged a 41% gain on the 41 stocks I have sold (39 winners and 2 small losers) in my private portfolio since January 1, 2016. Nine of the 41 stocks have had buy-out offers, including six in 2017 and two in 2018, but none in 2019 or 2020-yet.

My total portfolio was up 72.8% in 2019. I took profit in the entire gain and banked it in cash.

NASDAQ is up for the year on the backs of stocks selling at astronomical multiples—of sales. The NYSE and Russel 2000 indexes are still down but have recovered much of their losses. I am still down in 2020.

If you are interested in becoming one of our private paid subscribers, please e-mail me at daveosowski@gmail.com.

Here is the list of private subscription stocks I have bought and sold since December 2015.

2020 Cutera, 31% gain

2020 Aviat Networks, sold remaining 1/3 for a 7% gain (overall 15% gain)

2020 Telecommunications company-sold 29% for a 25% gain

2020 DHI .4% gain

2020 BioPharma company-sold 40% for a 9% loss

2020 QUAD Graphics-54% gain

2020 Medical equipment company-sold 33% for a 61% gain

2020 Old line media company-sold 50% for a 44% gain

2019 EXFO, 1% gain

2019 PERI, 77% gain

2019 Quantum Corp, sold 48% gain

2019 EXTR, 15% gain

2019 Medical Device company, sold 50% for a 53% gain

2019 DHI Corp, 46% gain

2019 Medical device company, (sold 80%), 69% gain

2019 Lantronix, 41% gain

2019 PDLI, 15% gain

2018 The Rubicon Project 1% gain

2018 Otelco 116% gain.

2018 Global Ship Lease 4% gain

2018 Telecom Services (57% sold) 3% gain

2018 Lantronix, 52% gain

2018 Ceragon Networks, 82% gain

2018 Aviat Newtowrks. (1/3 sold) 17% gain

2018 Pitney Bowes 31% gain

2018 Calix-1% gain

2018 Xerox 34% gain, Buy-Out

2018 RMG Networks-1% gain

2017 Telecommunications Co., 59% gain (partial sale)

2017 magicJack 17% gain, Buy-Out

2017 eGain 56% gain

2017 YUME 90% gain, Buy-Out

2017 MaxPoint Interactive 60% gain

2017 Shortel 24% gain, Buy-Out

2017 Tremor Video 25% gain

2017 MRV Communications 6% loss, Buy-Out

2017 Ceragon Networks 55% gain

2017 Angie’s List 60% gain, Buy-Out

2017 Lantronix 135% gain

2017 Syneron Medical 46% gain, Buy-Out

2017 RocketFuel 140% gain

2017 Conduent .1% gain

2017 Harmonic 74% gain

2016 Ceragon Networks 48% gain

2016 Alphatec 71% gain

2016 Universal Insurance 36% gain

2016 Mitel Networks 15% gain

2016 Avid Technology 50% gain

2016 Silicon Graphics 70% gain, Buy-Out

2016 Imatron 30% gain

2016 Harmonic 80% gain

2016 United Online 5% loss, Buy-Out

CSI Update May 2020, Free Blog

Of our closed out positions on the Blog, since inception, we have had 71 winners, 19 losers for a 79% win-rate with an average gain of 35.7%.

We will continue to update on the remaining stock positions individually until they are all sold.

SYNC which is merging with QUMU reported Q1 2020 earnings. They were not bad but the advertising portion of their revenue was affected by COVID.  Revenues were $20.6 million compared to $22.5 million last year (excluding the failed AT+T deal revenues) and they lost about $2.5 million (Non-GAAP). They had just under $9 million of cash. My valuation fell to $2.48 from $4.31. It is still trading at less than 50% of my valuation and the merger with QUMU along with their activist investor may make this a winner yet, but Q2 earnings will likely be bad due to the virus impact on their advertising revenues.

ATEC reported Q1 earnings. Revenues were up to $30.1 million from $25.5 million last year. They continue to lose a lot of money-about $10 million after to take out the litigation, failed EOS deal and stock comp expenses. With elective surgeries on hold for much of March through May, Q2 should be very ugly but I have been in this so long, I am not giving up yet. My valuation fell to $4.27 from $5.30

AVID reported Q1 earnings. Revenues were $86.5 million down from $103.3 million last year with all of the decline coming from their hardware products. Subscriptions and services revenues grew from $48.9 million to $51.7 million. My valuation fell to $11.77 from $18.71. They lost about $3.4 million compared to a $4.5 million profit last year (all Non-GAAP). Impactive Capital has been buying a load of AVID over the last several months and now own 11.6%.

May 2020 Legacy Positions:

SYNC

Share cost $2.56

Current Price $1.10

Lifetime Gain (Loss) (57%)

YTD Loss 28%

Current Valuation $2.48

Price to Value ratio 44%

Prior Valuation $4.31

 ATEC

Share cost $7.06

Current Price $4.45

Lifetime Loss 37%

YTD Loss 37%

Current Valuation $4.27

Price to Value ratio 104%

Prior Valuation $5.30

 AVID

Share cost $8.35

Current Price $7.06

Lifetime gain -15%

YTD Loss 18%

Current Valuation $11.77

Price to Value ratio 60%

Prior Valuation $18.71 

 

CSI Update April 2020, Private Subscribers

We stopped publishing our free weekly CSI Blog after 10 years of publishing at the end of 2015. We are following our 3 remaining open positions until the end.

In late 2015 I started offering a paid subscription service which is similar to the Blog, but we tell you exactly what stocks we bought and why—and sold every day, with a weekly summary of activity, open positions, how many shares we own and their valuations.

Through April 30, 2020, I have averaged a 41.7% gain on the 39 stocks I have sold (37 winners and 2 small losers) in my private portfolio since January 1, 2016. Nine of the 37 stocks have had buy-out offers, including six in 2017 and two in 2018. But none in 2019 or 2020-yet. My total portfolio was up 72.8% in 2019.

The virus hammered all of my stocks in March but there was a little rebound in April.

If you are interested in becoming one of our private paid subscribers, please e-mail me at daveosowski@gmail.com.

Here is the list of private subscription stocks I have bought and sold since December 2015.

2020 Telecommunications company-sold 14% for a .3% gain

2020 DHI- .4% gain

2020 BioPharma company-sold 40% for a 9% loss

2020 QUAD Graphics-54% gain

2020 Medical equipment company-sold 33% for a 61% gain

2020 Old line media company-sold 50% for a 44% gain

2019 EXFO, 1% gain

2019 PERI, 77% gain

2019 Quantum Corp, sold 48% gain

2019 EXTR, 15% gain

2019 Medical Device company, sold 50% for a 53% gain

2019 DHI Corp, 46% gain

2019 Medical device company, (sold 80%), 69% gain

2019 Lantronix, 41% gain

2019 PDLI, 15% gain

2018 The Rubicon Project 1% gain

2018 Otelco 116% gain.

2018 Global Ship Lease 4% gain

2018 Telecom Services (57% sold) 3% gain

2018 Lantronix, 52% gain

2018 Ceragon Networks, 82% gain

2018 Networking Co. (1/3 sold) 17% gain

2018 Pitney Bowes 31% gain

2018 Calix-1% gain

2018 Xerox 34% gain, Buy-Out

2018 RMG Networks-1% gain

2017 Telecommunications Co., 59% gain (partial sale)

2017 magicJack 17% gain, Buy-Out

2017 eGain 56% gain

2017 YUME 90% gain, Buy-Out

2017 MaxPoint Interactive 60% gain

2017 Shortel 24% gain, Buy-Out

2017 Tremor Video 25% gain

2017 MRV Communications 6% loss, Buy-Out

2017 Ceragon Networks 55% gain

2017 Angie’s List 60% gain, Buy-Out

2017 Lantronix 135% gain

2017 Syneron Medical 46% gain, Buy-Out

2017 RocketFuel 140% gain

2017 Conduent .1% gain

2017 Harmonic 74% gain

2016 Ceragon Networks 48% gain

2016 Alphatec 71% gain

2016 Universal Insurance 36% gain

2016 Mitel Networks 15% gain

2016 Avid Technology 50% gain

2016 Silicon Graphics 70% gain, Buy-Out

2016 Imatron 30% gain

2016 Harmonic 80% gain

2016 United Online 5% loss, Buy-Out

CSI Update April 2020, Free Blog

Of our closed out positions on the Blog, since inception, we have had 71 winners, 19 losers for a 79% win-rate with an average gain of 35.7%.

We will continue to update on the remaining stock positions individually until they are all sold.

SYNC which is merging with QUMU rebounded 40% in April as video conferencing is now a big thing with the virus forcing companies to not travel or even be in the office.

ATEC called off its expensive merger with EOS imaging. In this market, adding a bunch more debt could be suicidal, so I think this is a good thing in the short term.

AVID. With everybody sitting at home this should be a good time for its subscription business, but maybe not so good for its hardware storage business. The bet here has always been on the software subscription business.

April 2020 Legacy Positions:

SYNC

Share cost $2.56

Current Price $1.45

Lifetime Gain (Loss) (43%)

YTD Loss 5%

Current Valuation $4.31

Price to Value ratio 34%

Prior Valuation $5.05

 

ATEC

Share cost $7.06

Current Price $4.53

Lifetime Loss 36%

YTD Loss 36%

Current Valuation $5.30

Price to Value ratio 85%

Prior Valuation $5.29

 

 AVID

Share cost $8.35

Current Price $7.02

Lifetime gain -16%

YTD Loss 18%

Current Valuation $18.71

Price to Value ratio 38%

Prior Valuation $13.52